US Industrial production

40 releases measured, since Dec 23, 2025

What usually happens

In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD down a median of 0.9 pips in 5 minutes (14 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD down a median of 1.1 pips in 5 minutes (8 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD down a median of 0.2 pips in 15 minutes (11 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD down a median of 0.2 pips in 15 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD up a median of 2.2 pips in 60 minutes (15 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD up a median of 1.0 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD down a median of 220.0 pips in 5 minutes (13 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD up a median of 349.6 pips in 5 minutes (8 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD down a median of 665.0 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD up a median of 602.2 pips in 15 minutes (9 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD up a median of 466.4 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD up a median of 923.4 pips in 60 minutes (9 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD down a median of 8.5 pips in 5 minutes (12 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD down a median of 5.1 pips in 5 minutes (7 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD down a median of 21.0 pips in 15 minutes (13 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD up a median of 34.2 pips in 15 minutes (9 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD down a median of 3.0 pips in 60 minutes (13 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD down a median of 19.4 pips in 60 minutes (9 of 14 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD down a median of 1.8 pips in 5 minutes (14 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD down a median of 1.9 pips in 5 minutes (9 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD down a median of 0.6 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD down a median of 0.8 pips in 15 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD up a median of 2.0 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD up a median of 2.4 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD down a median of 0.9 pips in 5 minutes (15 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD down a median of 1.4 pips in 5 minutes (8 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD down a median of 0.4 pips in 15 minutes (13 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD down a median of 0.8 pips in 15 minutes (8 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD down a median of 2.6 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD up a median of 1.0 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 3.5 pips in 5 minutes (14 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 8.3 pips in 5 minutes (8 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 3.4 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 down a median of 1.4 pips in 15 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 20.0 pips in 60 minutes (13 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 down a median of 13.5 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD down a median of 0.6 pips in 5 minutes (13 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD down a median of 1.3 pips in 5 minutes (8 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD down a median of 0.2 pips in 15 minutes (11 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD down a median of 0.3 pips in 15 minutes (8 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD up a median of 2.2 pips in 60 minutes (14 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD up a median of 0.4 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD down a median of 10.0 pips in 5 minutes (12 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD down a median of 96.0 pips in 5 minutes (8 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD down a median of 45.0 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD up a median of 249.0 pips in 15 minutes (9 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD down a median of 37.5 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD down a median of 142.2 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 14 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL up a median of 2.0 pips in 5 minutes (12 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL down a median of 1.0 pips in 5 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL down a median of 2.0 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL down a median of 8.0 pips in 15 minutes (9 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL down a median of 11.0 pips in 60 minutes (14 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL down a median of 27.0 pips in 60 minutes (9 of 13 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US30 up a median of 3.0 pips in 5 minutes (13 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US30 up a median of 3.0 pips in 5 minutes (8 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US30 up a median of 3.0 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US30 down a median of 1.0 pips in 15 minutes (7 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US30 down a median of 14.0 pips in 60 minutes (14 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US30 down a median of 15.0 pips in 60 minutes (9 of 14 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 0.2 pips in 5 minutes (11 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 0.5 pips in 5 minutes (8 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 0.2 pips in 15 minutes (11 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 0.2 pips in 15 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 1.0 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US500 down a median of 9.8 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 1.4 pips in 5 minutes (16 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 0.8 pips in 5 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 3.0 pips in 15 minutes (13 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 3.0 pips in 15 minutes (8 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 1.8 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD down a median of 6.8 pips in 60 minutes (9 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 0.4 pips in 5 minutes (11 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 0.9 pips in 5 minutes (8 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 0.0 pips in 15 minutes (0 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 1.5 pips in 15 minutes (9 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF down a median of 1.2 pips in 60 minutes (13 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 0.3 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY up a median of 0.5 pips in 5 minutes (11 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY up a median of 2.0 pips in 5 minutes (8 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY up a median of 0.8 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY up a median of 2.2 pips in 15 minutes (8 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY down a median of 5.4 pips in 60 minutes (13 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY down a median of 1.8 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL up a median of 1.5 pips in 5 minutes (12 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL down a median of 1.0 pips in 5 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL down a median of 0.5 pips in 15 minutes (11 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL down a median of 7.0 pips in 15 minutes (9 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL down a median of 10.0 pips in 60 minutes (15 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL down a median of 28.0 pips in 60 minutes (9 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD down a median of 0.7 pips in 5 minutes (13 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 0.8 pips in 5 minutes (7 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 1.2 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 1.3 pips in 15 minutes (9 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 4.8 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 2.7 pips in 60 minutes (8 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD up a median of 2.2 pips in 5 minutes (11 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD down a median of 14.7 pips in 5 minutes (8 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD down a median of 5.2 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD down a median of 14.5 pips in 15 minutes (9 of 13 releases).
In the last 22 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD up a median of 7.0 pips in 60 minutes (11 of 22 releases).
In the last 13 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD up a median of 19.0 pips in 60 minutes (8 of 13 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD down a median of 15.5 pips in 5 minutes (14 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD down a median of 22.1 pips in 5 minutes (9 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD down a median of 58.0 pips in 15 minutes (14 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 11.0 pips in 15 minutes (7 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 1.2 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 39.4 pips in 60 minutes (8 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.0 pips in 5 minutes (4 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.0 pips in 5 minutes (1 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD down a median of 0.1 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD down a median of 0.4 pips in 15 minutes (10 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.2 pips in 60 minutes (13 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD down a median of 0.2 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 14 releases).
In the last 7 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 147.7 pips in 5 minutes (5 of 7 releases).
In the last 3 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 147.2 pips in 5 minutes (2 of 3 releases).
In the last 7 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD down a median of 305.9 pips in 15 minutes (4 of 7 releases).
In the last 3 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 390.2 pips in 15 minutes (3 of 3 releases).
In the last 7 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 760.1 pips in 60 minutes (5 of 7 releases).
In the last 3 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 1344.6 pips in 60 minutes (2 of 3 releases).
In the last 7 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 134.6 pips in 5 minutes (6 of 7 releases).
In the last 3 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 282.7 pips in 5 minutes (2 of 3 releases).
In the last 7 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD down a median of 81.7 pips in 15 minutes (4 of 7 releases).
In the last 3 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 446.5 pips in 15 minutes (2 of 3 releases).
In the last 7 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD down a median of 180.7 pips in 60 minutes (4 of 7 releases).
In the last 3 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 1624.2 pips in 60 minutes (2 of 3 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD down a median of 5.5 pips in 5 minutes (15 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD down a median of 2.9 pips in 5 minutes (7 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD down a median of 8.8 pips in 15 minutes (14 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD up a median of 5.1 pips in 15 minutes (7 of 14 releases).
In the last 23 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD down a median of 1.5 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 23 releases).
In the last 14 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD up a median of 6.5 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 14 releases).

Date	Actual	Forecast	Previous		ETHUSD15 min move	BTCUSD15 min move	US3015 min move
Oct 16, 2026	0.9	—	0.1	—	-9.5	-535	+38
Sep 18, 2026	0	0.3	0.2	-0.3 (-0.8σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 18, 2026	1.4	0.9	1.1	+0.5 (+0.6σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 18, 2026	0.1	—	0.3	—	+7	+1125	+48
Aug 27, 2026	17	21	17	-4 (-0.5σ)	+85.5	+4680	+56
Aug 18, 2026	0.2	0.1	0	+0.1 (-0.0σ)	-21	-1310	-24.5
Aug 18, 2026	1.1	0.7	1.1	+0.4 (+0.5σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 18, 2026	0.3	—	0	—	-21.5	-490	-17.5
Jul 23, 2026	17	14	19	+3 (+0.1σ)	-119	-1300	-102
Jul 17, 2026	0.1	0.2	0.1	-0.1 (-0.4σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 17, 2026	1.1	0.5	1.7	+0.6 (+0.7σ)	+13.5	+520	-31
Jul 17, 2026	0	—	0.1	—	-48	-870	-17
Jun 25, 2026	19	12	9	+7 (+0.5σ)	-149.8	-4070	-225
Jun 15, 2026	0	-0.1	0.6	+0.1 (-0.0σ)	+256.8	+2285	+33.5
Jun 15, 2026	1.7	0.3	1.4	+1.4 (+1.4σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jun 15, 2026	0.1	—	0.7	—	+89.5	+1960	+63
May 21, 2026	9	11	19	-2 (-0.3σ)	+83	+1835	+1
May 15, 2026	0.7	-0.3	-0.5	+1 (+1.9σ)	+3	-1160	+58.5
May 15, 2026	1.4	1.5	0.7	-0.1 (+0.1σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
May 15, 2026	0.7	—	-0.7	—	-53	-1430	-35.5
Apr 23, 2026	19	1	11	+18 (+1.4σ)	-45.5	-665	-81
Apr 16, 2026	-0.5	-0.1	0.2	-0.4 (-1.1σ)	+46.5	+1500	-18
Apr 16, 2026	0.7	2.1	1.4	-1.4 (-1.1σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Apr 16, 2026	-0.7	—	0.2	—	-12	-560	+38.5
Mar 26, 2026	11	—	10	—	-166	-5425	+13
Mar 16, 2026	0.2	0.3	0.6	-0.1 (-0.4σ)	+13	-675	+10
Mar 16, 2026	1.4	1.9	2.3	-0.5 (-0.3σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Mar 16, 2026	0.2	—	0	—	-170	-675	+55
Feb 26, 2026	10	—	-2	—	-72.5	-2480	-6
Feb 18, 2026	0.7	0.1	0.4	+0.6 (+1.1σ)	-76	-2200	+46
Feb 18, 2026	2.3	2.9	2	-0.6 (-0.4σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Feb 18, 2026	0	—	0.5	—	-100.8	-1700	-47
Jan 22, 2026	-2	—	-3	—	-24.8	-1680	+69
Jan 16, 2026	0.4	0.2	0.1	+0.2 (+0.2σ)	+115	+2710	-8
Jan 16, 2026	2	0	-0.1	+2 (+2.0σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jan 16, 2026	0.5	—	0.2	—	-30.8	-1180	-13
Dec 23, 2025	0	-0.3	0	+0.3 (+0.4σ)	+1.2	-815	-20
Dec 23, 2025	-0.1	1	1.6	-1.1 (-0.8σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Dec 23, 2025	0.2	—	0.2	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Dec 23, 2025	0.2	—	-2.4	—	-127	-1250	-46

Moves are measured on our own 1-minute price feed (market.candles_1m), not a vendor's or a forecast.

This page describes what already happened. It is not a prediction of the next release and not trading advice.