US Housing starts

40 releases measured, since May 21, 2026

What usually happens

In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD up a median of 1.2 pips in 5 minutes (22 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD up a median of 0.4 pips in 5 minutes (24 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD up a median of 0.9 pips in 15 minutes (21 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD down a median of 0.8 pips in 15 minutes (24 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD up a median of 1.3 pips in 60 minutes (22 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD down a median of 1.6 pips in 60 minutes (25 of 42 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD up a median of 442.5 pips in 5 minutes (24 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD up a median of 8.8 pips in 5 minutes (22 of 44 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD up a median of 106.2 pips in 15 minutes (20 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD down a median of 37.9 pips in 15 minutes (22 of 44 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD down a median of 275.4 pips in 60 minutes (22 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD down a median of 1177.8 pips in 60 minutes (29 of 44 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD up a median of 17.9 pips in 5 minutes (24 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD down a median of 9.4 pips in 5 minutes (24 of 44 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD up a median of 24.6 pips in 15 minutes (22 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD down a median of 4.8 pips in 15 minutes (24 of 44 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD down a median of 24.5 pips in 60 minutes (21 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD down a median of 11.6 pips in 60 minutes (23 of 44 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD down a median of 0.8 pips in 5 minutes (22 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD up a median of 0.2 pips in 5 minutes (21 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD up a median of 0.0 pips in 15 minutes (0 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD up a median of 0.3 pips in 15 minutes (21 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD down a median of 1.8 pips in 60 minutes (23 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD up a median of 0.2 pips in 60 minutes (22 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD down a median of 0.2 pips in 5 minutes (19 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD up a median of 0.7 pips in 5 minutes (26 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD up a median of 0.9 pips in 15 minutes (21 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD up a median of 0.4 pips in 15 minutes (22 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD down a median of 0.4 pips in 60 minutes (19 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD down a median of 0.5 pips in 60 minutes (23 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 5.8 pips in 5 minutes (24 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 down a median of 3.1 pips in 5 minutes (26 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 14.4 pips in 15 minutes (26 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 down a median of 11.9 pips in 15 minutes (26 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 8.0 pips in 60 minutes (21 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 down a median of 0.8 pips in 60 minutes (21 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD up a median of 1.2 pips in 5 minutes (22 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD up a median of 0.4 pips in 5 minutes (24 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD up a median of 0.8 pips in 15 minutes (22 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD down a median of 0.1 pips in 15 minutes (21 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD down a median of 0.1 pips in 60 minutes (19 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD up a median of 0.3 pips in 60 minutes (22 of 42 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD up a median of 159.2 pips in 5 minutes (27 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD down a median of 2.8 pips in 5 minutes (22 of 44 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD up a median of 155.2 pips in 15 minutes (27 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD up a median of 19.5 pips in 15 minutes (23 of 44 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD down a median of 140.5 pips in 60 minutes (22 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD down a median of 149.5 pips in 60 minutes (24 of 44 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL up a median of 1.5 pips in 5 minutes (20 of 38 releases).
In the last 41 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL down a median of 1.0 pips in 5 minutes (21 of 41 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL up a median of 3.5 pips in 15 minutes (23 of 38 releases).
In the last 41 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL down a median of 5.0 pips in 15 minutes (25 of 41 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL up a median of 10.0 pips in 60 minutes (23 of 38 releases).
In the last 41 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL down a median of 16.0 pips in 60 minutes (25 of 41 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US30 down a median of 1.5 pips in 5 minutes (20 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US30 down a median of 2.5 pips in 5 minutes (24 of 44 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US30 down a median of 1.2 pips in 15 minutes (21 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US30 down a median of 12.8 pips in 15 minutes (25 of 44 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US30 down a median of 23.5 pips in 60 minutes (25 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US30 down a median of 0.5 pips in 60 minutes (22 of 44 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US500 down a median of 1.0 pips in 5 minutes (21 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US500 down a median of 0.8 pips in 5 minutes (24 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 0.4 pips in 15 minutes (20 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US500 down a median of 1.8 pips in 15 minutes (29 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US500 down a median of 1.1 pips in 60 minutes (22 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US500 down a median of 1.7 pips in 60 minutes (22 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 0.0 pips in 5 minutes (0 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD down a median of 0.1 pips in 5 minutes (21 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD down a median of 1.6 pips in 15 minutes (22 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 0.3 pips in 15 minutes (21 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD down a median of 2.8 pips in 60 minutes (23 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 3.8 pips in 60 minutes (29 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 1.0 pips in 5 minutes (23 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF down a median of 0.4 pips in 5 minutes (22 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 1.6 pips in 15 minutes (21 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF down a median of 0.2 pips in 15 minutes (21 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 2.6 pips in 60 minutes (20 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF down a median of 2.4 pips in 60 minutes (25 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY up a median of 2.0 pips in 5 minutes (27 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY up a median of 0.0 pips in 5 minutes (0 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY up a median of 0.7 pips in 15 minutes (21 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY up a median of 0.2 pips in 15 minutes (21 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY down a median of 1.1 pips in 60 minutes (20 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY down a median of 0.4 pips in 60 minutes (21 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL up a median of 2.5 pips in 5 minutes (20 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL down a median of 0.5 pips in 5 minutes (21 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL up a median of 5.0 pips in 15 minutes (24 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL down a median of 4.5 pips in 15 minutes (26 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL up a median of 7.5 pips in 60 minutes (21 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL down a median of 17.5 pips in 60 minutes (26 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 0.9 pips in 5 minutes (21 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD down a median of 0.5 pips in 5 minutes (23 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 2.3 pips in 15 minutes (23 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 2.0 pips in 15 minutes (22 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 2.4 pips in 60 minutes (21 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 2.0 pips in 60 minutes (23 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD down a median of 2.0 pips in 5 minutes (20 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD down a median of 2.4 pips in 5 minutes (22 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD up a median of 6.6 pips in 15 minutes (21 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD up a median of 25.4 pips in 15 minutes (28 of 42 releases).
In the last 38 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD down a median of 12.0 pips in 60 minutes (22 of 38 releases).
In the last 42 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD up a median of 1.1 pips in 60 minutes (22 of 42 releases).
In the last 39 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 7.2 pips in 5 minutes (20 of 39 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD down a median of 14.0 pips in 5 minutes (25 of 44 releases).
In the last 39 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 15.5 pips in 15 minutes (21 of 39 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD down a median of 24.8 pips in 15 minutes (26 of 44 releases).
In the last 39 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 10.8 pips in 60 minutes (21 of 39 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD down a median of 30.8 pips in 60 minutes (26 of 44 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.2 pips in 5 minutes (22 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.0 pips in 5 minutes (5 of 44 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.3 pips in 15 minutes (22 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD down a median of 0.4 pips in 15 minutes (25 of 44 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.7 pips in 60 minutes (24 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD down a median of 0.6 pips in 60 minutes (24 of 44 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 206.8 pips in 5 minutes (8 of 12 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 52.8 pips in 5 minutes (7 of 11 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD down a median of 25.8 pips in 15 minutes (6 of 12 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 65.0 pips in 15 minutes (6 of 11 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD down a median of 168.8 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 12 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 324.8 pips in 60 minutes (8 of 11 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD down a median of 63.5 pips in 5 minutes (7 of 12 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD down a median of 224.4 pips in 5 minutes (7 of 11 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD down a median of 288.2 pips in 15 minutes (8 of 12 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD down a median of 43.8 pips in 15 minutes (6 of 11 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD down a median of 359.5 pips in 60 minutes (9 of 12 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 24.4 pips in 60 minutes (6 of 11 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD up a median of 14.5 pips in 5 minutes (25 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD up a median of 2.6 pips in 5 minutes (22 of 44 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD down a median of 1.0 pips in 15 minutes (21 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD up a median of 2.1 pips in 15 minutes (24 of 44 releases).
In the last 40 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD up a median of 6.5 pips in 60 minutes (20 of 40 releases).
In the last 44 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD down a median of 4.2 pips in 60 minutes (24 of 44 releases).

Date	Actual	Forecast	Previous		ETHUSD15 min move	BTCUSD15 min move	US3015 min move
Oct 20, 2026	1	—	1	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 17, 2026	0.3	-0.2	-2.3	+0.5 (+0.0σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 17, 2026	-4.7	1.3	-2.2	-6 (-1.5σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 17, 2026	71.2	1.4	1.44	+69.8 (+1.4σ)	-101	-1160	+2
Sep 17, 2026	1	—	1	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 10, 2026	-2	0.1	-1.7	-2.1 (-0.3σ)	-33	-875	+3
Aug 25, 2026	442.5	441.7	442.4	+0.8 (+0.1σ)	-55	-1670	+4
Aug 25, 2026	0.4	0.6	0.9	-0.2 (-0.1σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 25, 2026	2.1	1.7	1.6	+0.4 (+0.0σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 18, 2026	71.2	—	72.5	—	+2.5	+470	+8.5
Aug 18, 2026	-2.2	0.5	-0.3	-2.7 (-0.7σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 18, 2026	-2.3	-1.1	-5.4	-1.2 (-0.2σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 18, 2026	1	—	1	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 11, 2026	-1.7	-0.6	-2.4	-1.1 (-0.2σ)	-7.2	+130	-104
Jul 28, 2026	442.4	440.8	441.4	+1.6 (+0.1σ)	-7.2	-310	-43.5
Jul 28, 2026	0.9	0.8	1	+0.1 (-0.0σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 28, 2026	1.6	1.4	1.1	+0.2 (-0.1σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 24, 2026	1.6	-3.7	-7.3	+5.3 (+0.8σ)	-9.8	-1940	+78.5
Jul 17, 2026	19	-3.8	-15.4	+22.8 (+3.4σ)	-48	-870	-17
Jul 17, 2026	1	—	1	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 16, 2026	-5.4	2.6	3.8	-8 (-1.2σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 16, 2026	-0.3	3.5	4.8	-3.8 (-1.0σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 16, 2026	72.5	—	76.8	—	+62.5	+2530	+33.5
Jul 9, 2026	-2.4	0.4	3.2	-2.8 (-0.5σ)	-46.5	-1020	+33.5
Jun 30, 2026	441.4	441.1	441.5	+0.3 (+0.1σ)	+66	+550	-23.5
Jun 30, 2026	1.1	1.1	0.8	+0 (-0.1σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jun 30, 2026	0	0	-0.2	+0 (-0.0σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jun 24, 2026	-7.3	-3	-6.2	-4.3 (-0.7σ)	+8.2	-940	+67
Jun 17, 2026	76.8	—	74.8	—	+4.8	+850	+59
Jun 17, 2026	4.8	0.2	3.2	+4.6 (+1.0σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jun 17, 2026	3.8	-1	1.4	+4.8 (+0.7σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jun 16, 2026	-15.4	1.8	-2.8	-17.2 (-2.6σ)	-38.8	-990	+12
Jun 16, 2026	1	—	1	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jun 9, 2026	3.2	1	0.2	+2.2 (+0.3σ)	-99	-2585	-149
May 28, 2026	-6.2	10.2	7.4	-16.4 (-2.5σ)	+124	+2865	+172
May 26, 2026	441.5	441.5	441.4	+0 (+0.1σ)	-30	-350	-47
May 26, 2026	0.8	0.5	0.9	+0.3 (-0.0σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
May 26, 2026	1	0.4	0.4	+0.6 (+0.1σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
May 21, 2026	5.8	2	-10.8	+3.8 (+0.5σ)	+41	+1230	+14
May 21, 2026	1	—	2	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release

Moves are measured on our own 1-minute price feed (market.candles_1m), not a vendor's or a forecast.

This page describes what already happened. It is not a prediction of the next release and not trading advice.