US Durable goods orders

40 releases measured, since Dec 23, 2025

What usually happens

In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD up a median of 0.4 pips in 5 minutes (14 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD up a median of 0.1 pips in 5 minutes (9 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD up a median of 1.4 pips in 15 minutes (15 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD down a median of 2.6 pips in 15 minutes (11 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD up a median of 3.2 pips in 60 minutes (14 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD down a median of 9.5 pips in 60 minutes (14 of 18 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD down a median of 590.0 pips in 5 minutes (15 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD down a median of 351.5 pips in 5 minutes (12 of 20 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD up a median of 914.7 pips in 15 minutes (16 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD up a median of 281.2 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 20 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD down a median of 900.0 pips in 60 minutes (16 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD down a median of 533.2 pips in 60 minutes (10 of 20 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD down a median of 16.0 pips in 5 minutes (15 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD down a median of 12.2 pips in 5 minutes (10 of 20 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD up a median of 11.8 pips in 15 minutes (15 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD up a median of 3.2 pips in 15 minutes (10 of 20 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD down a median of 5.5 pips in 60 minutes (13 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD up a median of 81.5 pips in 60 minutes (13 of 20 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD down a median of 0.1 pips in 5 minutes (13 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD down a median of 0.7 pips in 5 minutes (10 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD down a median of 0.5 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD down a median of 3.4 pips in 15 minutes (13 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD up a median of 0.0 pips in 60 minutes (0 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD down a median of 7.0 pips in 60 minutes (10 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD up a median of 0.6 pips in 5 minutes (13 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD down a median of 2.0 pips in 5 minutes (10 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD up a median of 2.3 pips in 15 minutes (14 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD down a median of 3.9 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD up a median of 0.4 pips in 60 minutes (14 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD down a median of 8.2 pips in 60 minutes (11 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 2.0 pips in 5 minutes (13 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 0.4 pips in 5 minutes (9 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 7.8 pips in 15 minutes (14 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 7.4 pips in 15 minutes (11 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 41.8 pips in 60 minutes (15 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 down a median of 26.2 pips in 60 minutes (13 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD down a median of 0.2 pips in 5 minutes (14 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD up a median of 1.0 pips in 5 minutes (10 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD up a median of 1.9 pips in 15 minutes (17 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD down a median of 2.0 pips in 15 minutes (11 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD down a median of 0.6 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD down a median of 8.4 pips in 60 minutes (14 of 18 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD down a median of 27.5 pips in 5 minutes (13 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD up a median of 2.5 pips in 5 minutes (10 of 20 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD down a median of 70.0 pips in 15 minutes (14 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD up a median of 23.5 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 20 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD up a median of 25.5 pips in 60 minutes (13 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD up a median of 322.5 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 20 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL down a median of 3.0 pips in 5 minutes (15 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL up a median of 2.0 pips in 5 minutes (10 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL down a median of 1.0 pips in 15 minutes (14 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL up a median of 7.5 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL down a median of 10.0 pips in 60 minutes (15 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL up a median of 14.0 pips in 60 minutes (11 of 18 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US30 down a median of 3.0 pips in 5 minutes (14 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US30 up a median of 0.0 pips in 5 minutes (0 of 20 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US30 up a median of 6.0 pips in 15 minutes (14 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US30 up a median of 7.2 pips in 15 minutes (11 of 20 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US30 up a median of 23.0 pips in 60 minutes (18 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US30 down a median of 21.8 pips in 60 minutes (11 of 20 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 0.0 pips in 5 minutes (0 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 0.4 pips in 5 minutes (10 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 2.2 pips in 15 minutes (15 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 0.8 pips in 15 minutes (10 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 2.7 pips in 60 minutes (16 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US500 down a median of 7.0 pips in 60 minutes (11 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 0.8 pips in 5 minutes (12 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 1.9 pips in 5 minutes (10 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD down a median of 0.2 pips in 15 minutes (13 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 2.2 pips in 15 minutes (10 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 3.0 pips in 60 minutes (13 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 10.2 pips in 60 minutes (13 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 1.4 pips in 5 minutes (15 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 2.7 pips in 5 minutes (12 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 1.6 pips in 15 minutes (15 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 4.2 pips in 15 minutes (13 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF down a median of 0.4 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 8.4 pips in 60 minutes (15 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY up a median of 2.4 pips in 5 minutes (14 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY up a median of 4.4 pips in 5 minutes (13 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY up a median of 1.6 pips in 15 minutes (14 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY up a median of 9.1 pips in 15 minutes (13 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY down a median of 2.3 pips in 60 minutes (13 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY up a median of 18.4 pips in 60 minutes (14 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL down a median of 6.0 pips in 5 minutes (16 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL up a median of 2.0 pips in 5 minutes (11 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL down a median of 3.5 pips in 15 minutes (13 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL up a median of 8.0 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL down a median of 3.5 pips in 60 minutes (13 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL up a median of 16.5 pips in 60 minutes (10 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD down a median of 3.2 pips in 5 minutes (13 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 0.2 pips in 5 minutes (9 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD down a median of 0.3 pips in 15 minutes (13 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 5.2 pips in 15 minutes (11 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD down a median of 2.5 pips in 60 minutes (14 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD down a median of 0.2 pips in 60 minutes (9 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD up a median of 4.6 pips in 5 minutes (13 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD up a median of 5.0 pips in 5 minutes (11 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD up a median of 15.3 pips in 15 minutes (14 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD down a median of 3.8 pips in 15 minutes (10 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD up a median of 11.0 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 24 releases).
In the last 18 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD down a median of 22.5 pips in 60 minutes (10 of 18 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 1.8 pips in 5 minutes (14 of 24 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 50.8 pips in 5 minutes (12 of 20 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 27.2 pips in 15 minutes (13 of 24 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 34.8 pips in 15 minutes (11 of 20 releases).
In the last 24 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 45.6 pips in 60 minutes (15 of 24 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD down a median of 89.8 pips in 60 minutes (13 of 20 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.0 pips in 5 minutes (1 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD down a median of 0.2 pips in 5 minutes (11 of 20 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.2 pips in 15 minutes (15 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD down a median of 0.4 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 20 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.8 pips in 60 minutes (15 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD down a median of 0.8 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 20 releases).
In the last 9 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 244.8 pips in 5 minutes (7 of 9 releases).
In the last 4 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 697.2 pips in 5 minutes (4 of 4 releases).
In the last 9 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 300.2 pips in 15 minutes (6 of 9 releases).
In the last 4 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 554.1 pips in 15 minutes (4 of 4 releases).
In the last 9 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 207.2 pips in 60 minutes (6 of 9 releases).
In the last 4 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 828.8 pips in 60 minutes (4 of 4 releases).
In the last 9 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 69.2 pips in 5 minutes (6 of 9 releases).
In the last 4 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 315.9 pips in 5 minutes (3 of 4 releases).
In the last 9 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD down a median of 83.2 pips in 15 minutes (5 of 9 releases).
In the last 4 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 603.0 pips in 15 minutes (4 of 4 releases).
In the last 9 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD down a median of 764.4 pips in 60 minutes (5 of 9 releases).
In the last 4 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 1064.2 pips in 60 minutes (3 of 4 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD down a median of 10.5 pips in 5 minutes (15 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD down a median of 4.4 pips in 5 minutes (11 of 20 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD down a median of 10.0 pips in 15 minutes (14 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD up a median of 8.3 pips in 15 minutes (12 of 20 releases).
In the last 25 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD down a median of 53.9 pips in 60 minutes (15 of 25 releases).
In the last 20 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD up a median of 29.8 pips in 60 minutes (12 of 20 releases).

Date	Actual	Forecast	Previous		ETHUSD15 min move	BTCUSD15 min move	US3015 min move
Sep 25, 2026	-0.2	—	1.3	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 2, 2026	0.9	-0.1	-0.3	+1 (+0.1σ)	+43.5	+1940	+73
Aug 26, 2026	0.4	1	0.6	-0.6 (-2.0σ)	-158	-4430	-113.5
Aug 26, 2026	1.3	2.6	0.3	-1.3 (-0.4σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 26, 2026	1.3	—	0.8	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 4, 2026	-0.3	0.1	-1.3	-0.4 (-0.2σ)	+32.8	+1080	+98.5
Jul 27, 2026	0.6	0.4	1.3	+0.2 (+0.1σ)	+47.8	+490	+13
Jul 27, 2026	0.3	-1.5	-4.6	+1.8 (+0.3σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 27, 2026	0.8	—	-4	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 2, 2026	1.9	0.7	1.3	+1.2 (+0.1σ)	+63.5	+1450	+63.5
Jun 25, 2026	-4.6	5.2	8.1	-9.8 (-2.3σ)	+104.5	+2570	+75
Jun 25, 2026	1.3	0.5	1.1	+0.8 (+1.6σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jun 25, 2026	-4	—	8.5	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jun 3, 2026	4.8	-0.8	1.5	+5.6 (+1.1σ)	-17.5	+20	-44.5
May 28, 2026	1.1	0.5	0.9	+0.6 (+1.1σ)	+51.5	+1080	+69
May 28, 2026	8.1	-2.1	-0.3	+10.2 (+2.1σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
May 28, 2026	8.5	—	1.1	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
May 4, 2026	1.6	0.6	1.2	+1 (+0.1σ)	+37.5	+1600	-16
Apr 29, 2026	-0.3	0.7	-1.2	-1 (-0.3σ)	-2.5	+150	-9
Apr 29, 2026	0.9	0.6	0.8	+0.3 (+0.3σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Apr 29, 2026	1.1	—	-1.8	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Apr 10, 2026	1.2	0.2	0.4	+1 (+0.1σ)	+118	+3940	+58
Apr 7, 2026	-1.4	-2.2	0	+0.8 (+0.1σ)	-79.5	-1165	-32
Apr 7, 2026	0.8	0.4	0.4	+0.4 (+0.6σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Apr 7, 2026	-1.8	—	0.5	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Mar 18, 2026	0.1	-0.9	-0.7	+1 (+0.1σ)	-133.8	-2700	-216
Mar 13, 2026	0.4	0.6	0.9	-0.2 (-0.9σ)	-5	-720	+18
Mar 13, 2026	0	-0.5	-1.4	+0.5 (+0.0σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Mar 13, 2026	0.5	—	-1.3	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Feb 23, 2026	0.4	-0.1	0.2	+0.5 (+0.0σ)	-18.5	+460	-209
Feb 18, 2026	-2.5	-2	6.6	-0.5 (-0.2σ)	-100.8	-1700	-47
Feb 18, 2026	0.9	0.3	0.5	+0.6 (+1.1σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Feb 18, 2026	-1.3	—	5.3	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jan 29, 2026	2.7	-1.2	1.3	+3.9 (+0.7σ)	-638.5	-16750	-46.5
Jan 26, 2026	6.6	2	-1.5	+4.6 (+0.9σ)	+11.8	+1050	+3
Jan 26, 2026	0.5	0.3	0.2	+0.2 (+0.1σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jan 26, 2026	5.3	—	-2	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Dec 23, 2025	-2.2	1.2	0.5	-3.4 (-0.9σ)	-127	-1250	-46
Dec 23, 2025	0.2	0.2	0.6	+0 (-0.4σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Dec 23, 2025	-2	—	0.5	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release

Moves are measured on our own 1-minute price feed (market.candles_1m), not a vendor's or a forecast.

This page describes what already happened. It is not a prediction of the next release and not trading advice.