US CPI (consumer prices)

40 releases measured, since Jun 10, 2026

What usually happens

In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD down a median of 0.7 pips in 5 minutes (18 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD up a median of 14.6 pips in 5 minutes (9 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD down a median of 1.1 pips in 15 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD up a median of 7.1 pips in 15 minutes (10 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD up a median of 1.0 pips in 60 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved AUDUSD up a median of 10.3 pips in 60 minutes (10 of 11 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD down a median of 350.0 pips in 5 minutes (17 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD up a median of 1430.0 pips in 5 minutes (10 of 12 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD down a median of 18.8 pips in 15 minutes (17 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD up a median of 726.2 pips in 15 minutes (8 of 12 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD down a median of 246.6 pips in 60 minutes (17 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved BTCUSD up a median of 4695.0 pips in 60 minutes (8 of 12 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD up a median of 4.0 pips in 5 minutes (18 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD up a median of 92.2 pips in 5 minutes (9 of 12 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD down a median of 3.2 pips in 15 minutes (17 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD up a median of 21.0 pips in 15 minutes (8 of 12 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD up a median of 28.7 pips in 60 minutes (17 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved ETHUSD up a median of 171.2 pips in 60 minutes (9 of 12 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD down a median of 1.9 pips in 5 minutes (17 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD up a median of 16.6 pips in 5 minutes (11 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD down a median of 1.0 pips in 15 minutes (15 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD up a median of 13.2 pips in 15 minutes (11 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD down a median of 0.6 pips in 60 minutes (15 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved EURUSD up a median of 12.2 pips in 60 minutes (10 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD down a median of 0.6 pips in 5 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD up a median of 14.6 pips in 5 minutes (11 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD down a median of 0.6 pips in 15 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD up a median of 18.8 pips in 15 minutes (10 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD down a median of 0.3 pips in 60 minutes (15 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved GBPUSD up a median of 16.8 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 3.8 pips in 5 minutes (18 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 68.9 pips in 5 minutes (9 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 6.6 pips in 15 minutes (17 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 16.6 pips in 15 minutes (10 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 12.6 pips in 60 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NAS100 up a median of 48.6 pips in 60 minutes (9 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD down a median of 0.2 pips in 5 minutes (15 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD up a median of 13.7 pips in 5 minutes (9 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD up a median of 0.2 pips in 15 minutes (15 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD up a median of 9.0 pips in 15 minutes (9 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD up a median of 2.4 pips in 60 minutes (17 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved NZDUSD up a median of 6.8 pips in 60 minutes (10 of 11 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD up a median of 21.8 pips in 5 minutes (16 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD up a median of 341.8 pips in 5 minutes (10 of 12 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD down a median of 29.0 pips in 15 minutes (16 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD up a median of 54.8 pips in 15 minutes (8 of 12 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD up a median of 128.2 pips in 60 minutes (17 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved SOLUSD up a median of 1016.5 pips in 60 minutes (9 of 12 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL up a median of 1.0 pips in 5 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL up a median of 1.0 pips in 5 minutes (7 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL up a median of 4.0 pips in 15 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL up a median of 9.0 pips in 15 minutes (9 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL up a median of 2.0 pips in 60 minutes (15 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved UKOIL down a median of 1.0 pips in 60 minutes (6 of 11 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US30 down a median of 6.0 pips in 5 minutes (18 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US30 up a median of 79.5 pips in 5 minutes (10 of 12 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US30 down a median of 19.0 pips in 15 minutes (22 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US30 up a median of 55.0 pips in 15 minutes (11 of 12 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US30 down a median of 19.5 pips in 60 minutes (19 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US30 up a median of 113.5 pips in 60 minutes (9 of 12 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 0.2 pips in 5 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 11.7 pips in 5 minutes (9 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 0.1 pips in 15 minutes (15 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 3.1 pips in 15 minutes (9 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 2.1 pips in 60 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved US500 up a median of 12.4 pips in 60 minutes (8 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 2.4 pips in 5 minutes (21 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD down a median of 3.8 pips in 5 minutes (9 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD down a median of 0.1 pips in 15 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD down a median of 7.7 pips in 15 minutes (8 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD up a median of 1.4 pips in 60 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCAD down a median of 7.0 pips in 60 minutes (9 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 0.5 pips in 5 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF down a median of 5.7 pips in 5 minutes (10 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 0.5 pips in 15 minutes (18 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF down a median of 6.2 pips in 15 minutes (7 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 3.1 pips in 60 minutes (17 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDCHF up a median of 1.9 pips in 60 minutes (6 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY up a median of 1.8 pips in 5 minutes (19 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY down a median of 7.6 pips in 5 minutes (10 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY down a median of 0.2 pips in 15 minutes (15 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY down a median of 14.4 pips in 15 minutes (10 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY down a median of 0.5 pips in 60 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USDJPY down a median of 19.4 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL up a median of 0.0 pips in 5 minutes (1 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL up a median of 2.0 pips in 5 minutes (7 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL up a median of 3.0 pips in 15 minutes (15 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL up a median of 8.0 pips in 15 minutes (9 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL up a median of 1.0 pips in 60 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved USOIL down a median of 5.0 pips in 60 minutes (6 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 0.0 pips in 5 minutes (1 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 13.9 pips in 5 minutes (9 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 2.1 pips in 15 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 18.5 pips in 15 minutes (11 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 2.5 pips in 60 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAGUSD up a median of 28.8 pips in 60 minutes (10 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD down a median of 3.2 pips in 5 minutes (17 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD up a median of 49.4 pips in 5 minutes (8 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD up a median of 3.0 pips in 15 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD up a median of 96.4 pips in 15 minutes (9 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD down a median of 10.4 pips in 60 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 11 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XAUUSD up a median of 77.0 pips in 60 minutes (9 of 11 releases).
In the last 29 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD down a median of 15.2 pips in 5 minutes (16 of 29 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 65.4 pips in 5 minutes (9 of 12 releases).
In the last 28 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 41.4 pips in 15 minutes (18 of 28 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 143.0 pips in 15 minutes (9 of 12 releases).
In the last 26 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 43.3 pips in 60 minutes (16 of 26 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XCUUSD up a median of 370.8 pips in 60 minutes (10 of 12 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.0 pips in 5 minutes (3 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.3 pips in 5 minutes (7 of 12 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.3 pips in 15 minutes (18 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.4 pips in 15 minutes (7 of 12 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.6 pips in 60 minutes (19 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XNGUSD up a median of 0.5 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 12 releases).
In the last 10 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 21.2 pips in 5 minutes (5 of 10 releases).
In the last 3 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 427.3 pips in 5 minutes (2 of 3 releases).
In the last 10 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 37.2 pips in 15 minutes (7 of 10 releases).
In the last 3 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 1028.2 pips in 15 minutes (3 of 3 releases).
In the last 10 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD down a median of 120.6 pips in 60 minutes (6 of 10 releases).
In the last 3 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPDUSD up a median of 1073.8 pips in 60 minutes (2 of 3 releases).
In the last 10 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 22.2 pips in 5 minutes (5 of 10 releases).
In the last 3 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 506.7 pips in 5 minutes (2 of 3 releases).
In the last 10 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 496.4 pips in 15 minutes (7 of 10 releases).
In the last 3 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 1379.2 pips in 15 minutes (3 of 3 releases).
In the last 10 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 292.0 pips in 60 minutes (7 of 10 releases).
In the last 3 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XPTUSD up a median of 1373.9 pips in 60 minutes (2 of 3 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD up a median of 5.8 pips in 5 minutes (17 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD up a median of 46.5 pips in 5 minutes (8 of 12 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD down a median of 0.2 pips in 15 minutes (16 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD up a median of 4.8 pips in 15 minutes (8 of 12 releases).
In the last 32 releases, a higher-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD down a median of 0.8 pips in 60 minutes (16 of 32 releases).
In the last 12 releases, a lower-than-forecast surprise moved XRPUSD up a median of 180.8 pips in 60 minutes (8 of 12 releases).

Date	Actual	Forecast	Previous		ETHUSD15 min move	BTCUSD15 min move	US3015 min move
Oct 14, 2026	0.3	—	0.3	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Oct 14, 2026	2.5	—	2.4	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Oct 14, 2026	0.6	—	0.4	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Oct 14, 2026	3.7	—	3.3	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 11, 2026	3.3	—	3.3	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 11, 2026	3.4	2.7	3.4	+0.7 (+1.5σ)	+277	+5370	-1
Sep 11, 2026	0.4	0	0.1	+0.4 (+1.2σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 11, 2026	2.4	2.3	2.5	+0.1 (+0.6σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 11, 2026	338.041	336.88	337.133	+1.161 (+1.7σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 11, 2026	334.98	336.147	333.918	-1.167 (-1.4σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 11, 2026	0.3	0.2	0.2	+0.1 (+0.7σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 11, 2026	0.3	—	0.2	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 11, 2026	2.4	—	2.5	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Sep 11, 2026	0.4	—	0.1	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 26, 2026	2.2	1.7	1.4	+0.5 (+0.3σ)	-14.5	-10	-21
Aug 12, 2026	3.4	2.7	3.5	+0.7 (+1.5σ)	-123.2	-3150	-22
Aug 12, 2026	0.1	0.2	-0.4	-0.1 (-0.3σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 12, 2026	337.133	336.511	336.882	+0.622 (+0.7σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 12, 2026	333.918	331.48	333.952	+2.438 (+2.2σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 12, 2026	2.5	2.6	2.6	-0.1 (-0.4σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 12, 2026	0.1	0.2	0	-0.1 (-0.7σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 12, 2026	2.5	—	2.6	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 12, 2026	0.1	—	-0.4	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 12, 2026	3.3	—	3.4	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Aug 12, 2026	0.2	—	0	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 30, 2026	1.4	2.3	2.8	-0.9 (-1.1σ)	+7.8	+260	+123
Jul 14, 2026	3.4	—	4.2	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 14, 2026	-0.4	0.5	0.5	-0.9 (-2.9σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 14, 2026	2.6	2.9	2.9	-0.3 (-1.4σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 14, 2026	3.5	3.8	4.2	-0.3 (-0.8σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 14, 2026	336.882	336.769	336.846	+0.113 (-0.3σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 14, 2026	332.568	332.371	333.979	+0.197 (+0.0σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 14, 2026	0	0.2	0.2	-0.2 (-1.4σ)	+240	+6110	+145
Jul 14, 2026	0	—	0.2	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 14, 2026	2.6	—	2.8	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jul 14, 2026	-0.4	—	0.5	—	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jun 25, 2026	2.8	2.3	2.6	+0.5 (+0.3σ)	-64	-1160	-88
Jun 10, 2026	2.9	2.9	2.8	+0 (+0.1σ)	+138	+5270	+108.5
Jun 10, 2026	0.2	0.2	0.4	+0 (+0.0σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release
Jun 10, 2026	0.5	0.5	0.6	+0 (-0.0σ)	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release	not yet measured this release

Moves are measured on our own 1-minute price feed (market.candles_1m), not a vendor's or a forecast.

This page describes what already happened. It is not a prediction of the next release and not trading advice.