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Gold holds near 4159.58 in a 115 pip New York range

Three USD housing releases land at 12:30 UTC on 2026-10-20, inside our covered window

XAUUSD · New York session · Published Oct 19, 2026, 1:35 PM

Gold last traded at 4159.58, inside a New York session that has run 115 pips between 4158.70 and 4170.20 since the 4161.41 open. The nearest level above is the round number at 4160.00, 4.2 pips away, with the session open at 4161.41 and the previous session high at 4190.53 further up. Below sit the round number at 4150.00, 95.8 pips down, and the prior day low at 4147.34.

London ran 291.6 pips from 4184.02 down to a 4161.38 low and closed at 4161.42. The prior trading day covered 515.0 pips between 4147.34 and 4198.84. An ordinary day of the last 14 covers 709.5 pips, and the latest day sits at the 7th percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which is a calm day for this market.

Housing Starts m/m, Housing Starts and Building Permits are all scheduled for 2026-10-20 at 12:30 UTC, each graded impact 2 of 3. Over 112 past releases of that family, XAUUSD moved 56.92 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 97.80 in the first 60, in either direction.

Large speculators are net long 207879 contracts, a change of -2456 on the week and the 65th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The headlines our classifier grades at impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD include the New Zealand Dollar piece at 11:48 UTC and the Canadian Dollar piece at 10:29 UTC.

Session brief

  1. XAUUSD, New York sessionOpen 4161.41, high 4170.20, low 4158.70, close 4159.58: a range of 115 pips over 96 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. XAUUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. XAUUSD, London sessionOpen 4184.02, high 4190.53, low 4161.38, close 4161.42: a range of 291.6 pips over 300 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. XAUUSD, previous trading dayHigh 4198.84, low 4147.34, close 4165.88 on 2026-10-16, a range of 515.0 pips, from our own candles on the trading day that starts 17:00 New York.
  5. XAUUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 709.5 pips. The latest day sits at the 7th percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which is a calm day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  6. USD Housing Starts m/mScheduled 2026-10-20 12:30 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Forecast -14.0%. Previous -2.6%. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.
  7. XAUUSD reaction to housing_usdOver 112 past releases XAUUSD moved 56.92 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 97.80 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  8. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 088691Large speculators are net long 207879 contracts, a change of -2456 on the week. That is the 65th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  9. New Zealand Dollar extends winning streak against US Dollar, NZ Q3 CPI data in focusFXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD by our headline classifier.
  10. Economic calendar for XAU and USD3 scheduled releases of impact 2 or 3 in the 24 hours to 2026-10-20 13:35 UTC. Our calendar covers up to 2026-11-18 00:00 UTC.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.