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Gold at 4156.98, New York range 377 pips

Three USD inventory releases land at 14:00 UTC, 14 minutes away

XAUUSD · New York session · Published Oct 15, 2026, 1:45 PM

Gold last traded at 4156.98, inside a New York session that has run 377 pips between 4131.03 and 4168.73. The nearest level above is the prior London high at 4160.70, 37.2 pips up, with the prior day high at 4170.51, 135.3 pips up. Below sit the round number at 4150.00, 69.8 pips down, and the session open at 4145.14, 118.4 pips down.

London closed at 4145.15 after a 252 pip range between 4135.50 and 4160.70. The prior trading day ran 971.2 pips from 4073.39 to 4170.51. An ordinary day over the last 14 covers 782.2 pips, and the latest day sits at the 60th percentile of the last 43 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market.

At 14:00 UTC, 14 minutes away, USD Retail Inventories m/m is scheduled with a forecast of 0.3% and a previous of 0.3%. USD Business Inventories m/m is due at the same time, forecast 0.4% against a previous 0.8%. USD EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change follows at 16:00 UTC, impact 3 of 3, forecast -0.831 M against a previous -3.186 M.

Large speculators are net long 210335 contracts, a change of -8297 on the week, the 67th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. Action Forex reported US PPI at 12:51 UTC, graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD. FXStreet reported US producer inflation at 12:37 UTC, also graded 2 of 3.

Session brief

  1. XAUUSD, New York sessionOpen 4145.14, high 4168.73, low 4131.03, close 4156.98: a range of 377 pips over 106 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. XAUUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. XAUUSD, London sessionOpen 4136.16, high 4160.70, low 4135.50, close 4145.15: a range of 252 pips over 300 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. XAUUSD, previous trading dayHigh 4170.51, low 4073.39, close 4105.60 on 2026-10-14, a range of 971.2 pips, from our own candles on the trading day that starts 17:00 New York.
  5. XAUUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 782.2 pips. The latest day sits at the 60th percentile of the last 43 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  6. USD Retail Inventories m/mScheduled 2026-10-15 14:00 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Forecast 0.3%. Previous 0.3%. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.
  7. USD Business Inventories m/mScheduled 2026-10-15 14:00 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Forecast 0.4%. Previous 0.8%. From Forex Factory.
  8. USD EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeScheduled 2026-10-15 16:00 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast -0.831 M. Previous -3.186 M. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.
  9. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 088691Large speculators are net long 210335 contracts, a change of -8297 on the week. That is the 67th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  10. US PPI Surges 1.3% as Energy Prices Spike, but Core Inflation Also Beats ForecastsAction Forex. Graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD by our headline classifier.
  11. United States producer inflation jumps 6.3% in September vs. 5.3% expectedFXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD by our headline classifier.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.