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XAUUSD at 4156.90, low of the New York range

Fed Governor Bowman speaks at 14:45 UTC, 64 minutes away

XAUUSD · New York session · Published Oct 6, 2026, 1:40 PM

XAUUSD last traded at 4156.90, the low of a New York session that has run 232 pips from 4173.70 to 4179.80 over 101 minutes. The nearest level above is the round number 4160.00, 31 pips away, then the prior day high at 4170.27, 133.7 pips above. Below sit the round number 4150.00, 69 pips down, and the previous session low at 4128.36, 285.4 pips away.

London closed at 4173.70 after a 465 pip range between 4128.36 and 4174.86, and the prior trading day ran 470.2 pips. An ordinary day of the last 14 covers 856.5 pips, and the latest day sits at the 5th percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which is a calm day for this market.

Three releases of impact 2 or 3 fall in the next 24 hours, starting with the Fed Governor Bowman speech at 14:45 UTC, then the EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook at 16:00 UTC and the 3-Year Note Auction at 17:00 UTC. Over 429 past auction_usd releases XAUUSD moved 37.60 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 75.40 in the first 60, in either direction.

Large speculators are net long 218632 contracts, a change of -7221 on the week, the 73rd percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services release at 12:30 UTC and the Dow Jones futures headline at 08:38 UTC are both graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD.

Session brief

  1. XAUUSD, New York sessionOpen 4173.70, high 4179.80, low 4156.60, close 4156.90: a range of 232 pips over 101 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. XAUUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. XAUUSD, London sessionOpen 4131.50, high 4174.86, low 4128.36, close 4173.70: a range of 465 pips over 300 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. XAUUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 856.5 pips. The latest day sits at the 5th percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which is a calm day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  5. Economic calendar for XAU and USD3 scheduled releases of impact 2 or 3 in the 24 hours to 2026-10-07 13:40 UTC. Our calendar covers up to 2026-11-05 00:00 UTC.
  6. XAUUSD reaction to auction_usdOver 429 past releases XAUUSD moved 37.60 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 75.40 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  7. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 088691Large speculators are net long 218632 contracts, a change of -7221 on the week. That is the 73rd percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  8. U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, August 2026U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD by our headline classifier.
  9. USD Fed Governor Bowman SpeechScheduled 2026-10-06 14:45 UTC, impact 2 of 3. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.