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Gold holds 4144.48, low end of New York range

Two USD PMI releases land at 13:45 UTC, four minutes from now

XAUUSD · New York session · Published Oct 5, 2026, 1:40 PM

Gold last traded at 4144.48, near the bottom of the New York session range of 240.2 pips between 4142.22 and 4166.24. The nearest level above is the round number 4150.00, 55.2 pips away, with the London session low at 4149.46 just below it. Below, the round number 4140.00 sits 44.8 pips away and the prior day low 4125.19 is 192.9 pips away.

London ran a range of 208.2 pips between 4149.46 and 4170.27 and closed at 4156.18. The prior trading day was wider, 1006.2 pips from 4125.19 to 4225.82, closing at 4143.54. An ordinary day over the last 14 covers 863.0 pips, and the latest day sits at the 62nd percentile of the last 42 days, which is an ordinary day for this market.

The USD Final Services PMI is scheduled at 13:45 UTC with impact 3 of 3, forecast 58.7 and previous 58.7. The USD ISM Services PMI follows at 14:00 UTC, impact 3 of 3, forecast 55.1 and previous 55.4. Over 91 past pmi_usd releases XAUUSD moved 63.71 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 111.38 in the first 60, in either direction.

Large speculators are net long 218632 contracts, a change of -7221 on the week, the 73rd percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The loudest headline for gold is graded impact 2 of 3, published at 12:30 UTC and covering crude forecasts and inflation.

Session brief

  1. XAUUSD, New York sessionOpen 4156.20, high 4166.24, low 4142.22, close 4144.48: a range of 240.2 pips over 100 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. XAUUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. XAUUSD, London sessionOpen 4155.44, high 4170.27, low 4149.46, close 4156.18: a range of 208.2 pips over 300 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. XAUUSD, previous trading dayHigh 4225.82, low 4125.19, close 4143.54 on 2026-10-02, a range of 1006.2 pips, from our own candles on the trading day that starts 17:00 New York.
  5. XAUUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 863.0 pips. The latest day sits at the 62nd percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  6. USD Final Services PMIScheduled 2026-10-05 13:45 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast 58.7. Previous 58.7. From Forex Factory.
  7. USD ISM Services PMIScheduled 2026-10-05 14:00 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast 55.1. Previous 55.4. From Forex Factory.
  8. XAUUSD reaction to pmi_usdOver 91 past releases XAUUSD moved 63.71 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 111.38 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  9. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 088691Large speculators are net long 218632 contracts, a change of -7221 on the week. That is the 73rd percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  10. Oil: Crude forecasts signal inflation surprises ahead - Societe GeneraleFXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD by our headline classifier.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.