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Gold at 4163.12, New York range 4159.20 to 4187.86

ISM Manufacturing PMI is due at 14:00 UTC, 14 minutes away

XAUUSD · New York session · Published Oct 1, 2026, 1:45 PM

Gold's last print is 4163.12, inside the New York session range of 286.6 pips between 4159.20 and 4187.86. The closest level above is the round number 4170.00, 68.8 pips higher, and the closest below is the round number 4160.00, 31.2 pips lower.

London closed at 4182.76 after a range of 368 pips between 4149.14 and 4185.94, over 300 minutes. An ordinary day over the last 14 covers 905.9 pips, and the latest day sits at the 23rd percentile of the last 43 days we hold, a calm day for this market.

Eight releases of impact 2 or 3 sit in the 24 hours to 2026-10-02 13:45 UTC, and our calendar covers to 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC. Over 93 past pmi_usd releases XAUUSD moved 61.90 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 109.40 in the first 60, in either direction.

Large speculators are net long 225853 contracts in the 2026-09-22 CFTC report, a change of -4485 on the week and the 77th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. Headlines graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD include an Action Forex item at 12:38 UTC on falling jobless claims and an FXStreet item at 12:12 UTC on the US Dollar.

Session brief

  1. XAUUSD, New York sessionOpen 4182.76, high 4187.86, low 4159.20, close 4163.12: a range of 286.6 pips over 105 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. XAUUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. XAUUSD, London sessionOpen 4181.82, high 4185.94, low 4149.14, close 4182.76: a range of 368 pips over 300 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. XAUUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 905.9 pips. The latest day sits at the 23rd percentile of the last 43 days we hold, which is a calm day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  5. Economic calendar for XAU and USD8 scheduled releases of impact 2 or 3 in the 24 hours to 2026-10-02 13:45 UTC. Our calendar covers up to 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.
  6. XAUUSD reaction to pmi_usdOver 93 past releases XAUUSD moved 61.90 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 109.40 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  7. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 088691Large speculators are net long 225853 contracts, a change of -4485 on the week. That is the 77th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  8. US Jobless Claims Fall to 197K, Offering No Sign of Labor Weakness Ahead of NFPAction Forex. Graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD by our headline classifier.
  9. Why is the US Dollar climbing when its preferred inflation gauge is cooling?FXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD by our headline classifier.
  10. USD ISM Manufacturing PMIScheduled 2026-10-01 14:00 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast 54.8. Previous 54.6. From Forex Factory.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.