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Gold holds 4150.28 at the low of the London session range

The next scheduled release is USD Unemployment Claims at 12:30 UTC, impact 3 of 3

XAUUSD · London session · Published Oct 1, 2026, 8:45 AM

Gold last traded at 4150.28, near the bottom of the London session, which has run from 4149.14 to 4183.60, a range of 344.5 pips over 106 minutes. The closest level below is the round number 4150.00, 2.8 pips away, then the prior day low at 4147.36, 29.2 pips below; above sits the round number 4160.00, 97.2 pips above.

Asia closed at 4181.82 after ranging between 4139.32 and 4193.00, 536.9 pips over 540 minutes. An ordinary day of the last 14 covers 905.9 pips, and the latest day sits at the 23rd percentile of the last 43 days we hold, which is a calm day for this market.

USD Unemployment Claims is scheduled at 12:30 UTC at impact 3 of 3, forecast 201K against a previous 197K. Over 98 past releases of that family XAUUSD moved 73.00 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 98.30 in the first 60, in either direction. USD Final Manufacturing PMI follows at 13:45 UTC at impact 3 of 3.

Large speculators are net long 225853 contracts in the CFTC report of 2026-09-22, a change of -4485 on the week and the 77th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The highest graded headline for XAUUSD is the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Personal Income and Outlays release of 2026-09-30 12:31 UTC, impact 3 of 3.

Session brief

  1. XAUUSD, London sessionOpen 4181.82, high 4183.60, low 4149.14, close 4150.28: a range of 344.5 pips over 106 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. XAUUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. XAUUSD, Asia sessionOpen 4160.84, high 4193.00, low 4139.32, close 4181.82: a range of 536.9 pips over 540 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. XAUUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 905.9 pips. The latest day sits at the 23rd percentile of the last 43 days we hold, which is a calm day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  5. USD Unemployment ClaimsScheduled 2026-10-01 12:30 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast 201K. Previous 197K. From Forex Factory.
  6. XAUUSD reaction to jobless_claims_usdOver 98 past releases XAUUSD moved 73.00 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 98.30 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  7. USD Final Manufacturing PMIScheduled 2026-10-01 13:45 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast 56.9. Previous 57.0. From Forex Factory.
  8. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 088691Large speculators are net long 225853 contracts, a change of -4485 on the week. That is the 77th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  9. Personal Income and Outlays, August 2026U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Graded impact 3 of 3 for XAUUSD by our headline classifier.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.