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XAUUSD at 4127.29, low of a 198.4 pip Asia range

USD Unemployment Claims at 12:30 UTC is the next release, graded 3 of 3

XAUUSD · Asia session · Published Oct 21, 2026, 11:05 PM

XAUUSD last traded at 4127.29, the low of the Asia session so far, a range of 198.4 pips from 4147.14 down to 4127.29. The nearest level above is the round number at 4130.00, 27.1 pips away, then the session open at 4142.12, 148.3 pips above. Below sits the round number at 4120.00, 72.9 pips lower, and the prior day low at 4104.76, 225.3 pips down.

The New York session ran 377.9 pips from 4104.76 to 4142.54 and closed at 4140.82. An ordinary day of the last 14 covers 664.8 pips, and the latest day sits at the 2nd percentile of the last 43 days we hold, which is a calm day for this market.

USD Unemployment Claims is scheduled at 12:30 UTC with a forecast of 200K and a previous of 199K. Over 101 past releases of that family XAUUSD moved 73.00 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 97.70 in the first 60, in either direction. Our calendar covers up to 2026-11-20 00:00 UTC.

Large speculators are net long 207879 contracts, a change of -2456 on the week, the 65th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The most recent headline graded for XAUUSD, at impact 2 of 3, was published at 23:00 UTC and concerns the Japanese Yen.

Session brief

  1. XAUUSD, Asia sessionOpen 4142.12, high 4147.14, low 4127.29, close 4127.29: a range of 198.4 pips over 65 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. XAUUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. XAUUSD, New York sessionOpen 4139.92, high 4142.54, low 4104.76, close 4140.82: a range of 377.9 pips over 540 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. XAUUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 664.8 pips. The latest day sits at the 2nd percentile of the last 43 days we hold, which is a calm day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  5. USD Unemployment ClaimsScheduled 2026-10-22 12:30 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast 200K. Previous 199K. From Forex Factory.
  6. XAUUSD reaction to jobless_claims_usdOver 101 past releases XAUUSD moved 73.00 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 97.70 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  7. Economic calendar for XAU and USD4 scheduled releases of impact 2 or 3 in the 24 hours to 2026-10-22 23:05 UTC. Our calendar covers up to 2026-11-20 00:00 UTC.
  8. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 088691Large speculators are net long 207879 contracts, a change of -2456 on the week. That is the 65th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  9. The Japanese Yen barely moves as a Bank of Japan deputy talks up inflation riskFXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD by our headline classifier.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.