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Gold holds 4165.32 as Asia range stays tight

Fed Chairman Warsh speaks at 03:30 UTC, the next scheduled event

XAUUSD · Asia session · Published Oct 15, 2026, 10:50 PM

Gold last traded at 4165.32, near the bottom of an Asia session that has run 79.2 pips between 4164.90 and 4172.82. The nearest level above is the round number at 4170.00, 46.8 pips up, then the session open at 4172.49, 71.7 pips up. Below sit the round number at 4160.00, 53.2 pips down, and the previous session low at 4131.03, 342.9 pips down.

New York closed at 4170.75 after trading 465.8 pips between 4131.03 and 4177.60. The prior trading day ran 774.6 pips from 4100.14 to 4177.60. An ordinary day over the last 14 covers 793.9 pips, and the latest day sits at the 39th percentile of the last 44 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market.

The next scheduled release is Fed Chairman Warsh Speaks at 03:30 UTC, graded impact 3 of 3. Over 10 past speech_usd releases, XAUUSD moved 40.90 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 76.70 in the first 60, in either direction. Industrial Production follows at 13:15 UTC, where 71 past releases moved XAUUSD 41.50 pips in the first 15 minutes and 85.20 in the first 60.

Large speculators are net long 210335 contracts, a change of -8297 on the week, the 67th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The loudest headline for this instrument is FXStreet on the Fed's Hammack urging more tightening, graded impact 2 of 3, published at 21:11 UTC.

Session brief

  1. XAUUSD, Asia sessionOpen 4172.49, high 4172.82, low 4164.90, close 4165.32: a range of 79.2 pips over 50 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. XAUUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. XAUUSD, New York sessionOpen 4145.14, high 4177.60, low 4131.03, close 4170.75: a range of 465.8 pips over 540 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. XAUUSD, previous trading dayHigh 4177.60, low 4100.14, close 4170.75 on 2026-10-15, a range of 774.6 pips, from our own candles on the trading day that starts 17:00 New York.
  5. XAUUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 793.9 pips. The latest day sits at the 39th percentile of the last 44 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  6. USD Fed Chairman Warsh SpeaksScheduled 2026-10-16 03:30 UTC, impact 3 of 3. From Forex Factory.
  7. XAUUSD reaction to speech_usdOver 10 past releases XAUUSD moved 40.90 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 76.70 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  8. XAUUSD reaction to industrial_production_usdOver 71 past releases XAUUSD moved 41.50 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 85.20 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  9. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 088691Large speculators are net long 210335 contracts, a change of -8297 on the week. That is the 67th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  10. Fed’s Hammack urges more tightening as inflation squeezes householdsFXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD by our headline classifier.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.