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Gold holds 4100.53 after a 119.6 pip Asia range

US PPI m/m, Core PPI m/m and Retail Sales m/m are all scheduled for 2026-10-15 12:30 UTC

XAUUSD · Asia session · Published Oct 14, 2026, 11:10 PM

Gold last traded at 4100.53, the low end of an Asia session that has run 119.6 pips between 4100.14 and 4112.10. The nearest level above is the round number at 4110.00, 94.7 pips up, then the session open at 4111.22, 106.9 pips up. Below sit the round number at 4100.00, 5.3 pips away, and the prior day low at 4073.39, 271.4 pips down.

New York closed at 4105.60 after a range of 823.2 pips, having traded from 4073.39 up to 4155.72. The prior trading day covered 971.2 pips between 4073.39 and 4170.51. An ordinary day of the last 14 covers 782.2 pips, and the latest day sits at the 60th percentile of the last 43 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market.

Eight releases of impact 2 or 3 fall in the next 24 hours, starting with a Fed Governor Bowman Speech at 02:55 UTC. The 12:30 UTC cluster includes PPI m/m, Core PPI m/m, Unemployment Claims, Retail Sales m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m and the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index. Over 24 past PPI releases XAUUSD moved 65.40 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 96.90 in the first 60, in either direction.

Large speculators are net long 210335 contracts in the CFTC report of 2026-10-06, a change of -8297 on the week and the 67th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The loudest headline for this instrument is graded impact 2 of 3, published at 23:00 UTC.

Session brief

  1. XAUUSD, Asia sessionOpen 4111.22, high 4112.10, low 4100.14, close 4100.53: a range of 119.6 pips over 71 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. XAUUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. XAUUSD, New York sessionOpen 4139.44, high 4155.72, low 4073.39, close 4105.60: a range of 823.2 pips over 540 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. XAUUSD, previous trading dayHigh 4170.51, low 4073.39, close 4105.60 on 2026-10-14, a range of 971.2 pips, from our own candles on the trading day that starts 17:00 New York.
  5. XAUUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 782.2 pips. The latest day sits at the 60th percentile of the last 43 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  6. USD Fed Governor Bowman SpeechScheduled 2026-10-15 02:55 UTC, impact 2 of 3. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.
  7. USD Retail Sales m/mScheduled 2026-10-15 12:30 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast 0.3%. Previous 1.2%. From Forex Factory.
  8. XAUUSD reaction to ppi_usdOver 24 past releases XAUUSD moved 65.40 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 96.90 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  9. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 088691Large speculators are net long 210335 contracts, a change of -8297 on the week. That is the 67th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  10. Euro breaks to a 17-month low as US core inflation beats forecastsFXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD by our headline classifier.
  11. USD PPI m/mScheduled 2026-10-15 12:30 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast 0.6%. Previous 0.4%. From Forex Factory.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.