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Gold holds 4146.60 near the top of the Asia range

Eight USD releases of impact 2 or 3 fall in the next 24 hours, the first at 14:00 UTC

XAUUSD · Asia session · Published Oct 9, 2026, 12:15 AM

Gold last traded at 4146.60, inside an Asia session that has run from 4131.11 to 4150.60, a range of 194.9 pips. The nearest level above is the round number at 4150.00, 34 pips away, and the nearest below is the round number at 4140.00, 66 pips away. The prior day high and previous session high both sit at 4146.16, 4.4 pips below the last price.

New York traded between 4105.36 and 4146.16 and closed at 4133.16, a range of 408.1 pips over 540 minutes. The prior trading day covered 429.3 pips, from 4103.24 to 4146.16. An ordinary day over the last 14 covers 789.5 pips, and the latest day sits at the 2nd percentile of the last 44 days we hold, which is a calm day for this market.

The first release on the calendar is USD Michigan Consumer Expectations at 14:00 UTC, with a forecast of 42.6 and a previous 46.3. Over 49 past releases of the inflation expectations family, XAUUSD moved 81.90 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 111.10 in the first 60, in either direction. Over 74 past sentiment releases it moved 71.70 pips in the first 15 minutes and 106.90 in the first 60.

Large speculators are net long 218632 contracts, a change of -7221 on the week, the 73rd percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. Among the headlines graded for XAUUSD, FXStreet reported the Mexican Peso diving on solid US data at 18:45 UTC and Fed's Musalem signalling more tightening at 17:57 UTC, both graded impact 2 of 3.

Session brief

  1. XAUUSD, Asia sessionOpen 4134.21, high 4150.60, low 4131.11, close 4146.60: a range of 194.9 pips over 136 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. XAUUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. XAUUSD, New York sessionOpen 4124.64, high 4146.16, low 4105.36, close 4133.16: a range of 408.1 pips over 540 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. XAUUSD, previous trading dayHigh 4146.16, low 4103.24, close 4133.16 on 2026-10-08, a range of 429.3 pips, from our own candles on the trading day that starts 17:00 New York.
  5. XAUUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 789.5 pips. The latest day sits at the 2nd percentile of the last 44 days we hold, which is a calm day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  6. USD Michigan Consumer ExpectationsScheduled 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Forecast 42.6. Previous 46.3. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.
  7. XAUUSD reaction to inflation_expectations_usdOver 49 past releases XAUUSD moved 81.90 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 111.10 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  8. XAUUSD reaction to sentiment_usdOver 74 past releases XAUUSD moved 71.70 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 106.90 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  9. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 088691Large speculators are net long 218632 contracts, a change of -7221 on the week. That is the 73rd percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  10. Mexican Peso dives on solid US data, despite high inflationFXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD by our headline classifier.
  11. Economic calendar for XAU and USD8 scheduled releases of impact 2 or 3 in the 24 hours to 2026-10-10 00:15 UTC. Our calendar covers up to 2026-11-08 00:00 UTC.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.