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Gold holds 4144.10 in a 42.6 pip Asia range

The next scheduled release is USD Trade Balance at 12:30 UTC, with Imports and Exports at the same time

XAUUSD · Asia session · Published Oct 5, 2026, 10:35 PM

Gold last traded at 4144.10, inside an Asia session that has run 42.6 pips between 4140.73 and 4145.00 since the 4142.82 open. The nearest level above is the round number 4150.00, 59 pips up, and the nearest below is the round number 4140.00, 41 pips down.

New York closed at 4140.24 after a 430.0 pip range between 4123.24 and 4166.24, and the prior trading day ran 470.2 pips. An ordinary day of the last 14 covers 856.5 pips, and the latest day sits at the 2nd percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which is a calm day for this market.

Six releases of impact 2 or 3 fall in the next 24 hours, starting with USD Trade Balance at 12:30 UTC, forecast -100.8B against a previous -88.6B. Over 50 past releases of that family, XAUUSD moved 54.01 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 101.47 in the first 60, in either direction.

Large speculators are net long 218632 contracts, a change of -7221 on the week, the 73rd percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The loudest headline for XAUUSD is graded impact 2 of 3, published at 22:31 UTC.

Session brief

  1. XAUUSD, Asia sessionOpen 4142.82, high 4145.00, low 4140.73, close 4144.10: a range of 42.6 pips over 36 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. XAUUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. XAUUSD, New York sessionOpen 4156.20, high 4166.24, low 4123.24, close 4140.24: a range of 430.0 pips over 540 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. XAUUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 856.5 pips. The latest day sits at the 2nd percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which is a calm day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  5. USD Trade BalanceScheduled 2026-10-06 12:30 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Forecast -100.8B. Previous -88.6B. From Forex Factory.
  6. XAUUSD reaction to trade_balance_usdOver 50 past releases XAUUSD moved 54.01 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 101.47 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  7. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 088691Large speculators are net long 218632 contracts, a change of -7221 on the week. That is the 73rd percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  8. US Treasury yields scale multi-year highs as inflation fears returnFXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for XAUUSD by our headline classifier.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.