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USDJPY at 157.939, New York range 19.8 pips

The next scheduled release is the Baker Hughes US rig counts at 17:00 UTC

USDJPY · New York session · Published Oct 16, 2026, 1:40 PM

USDJPY last traded at 157.939, inside a New York session that has run between 157.896 and 158.094, a range of 19.8 pips. The nearest level above is the session open at 158.006, 6.7 pips away, with the round number at 158.000 just 6.1 pips above the last price. Below sit the previous session low at 157.823, 11.6 pips away, and the prior day low at 157.546, 39.3 pips away.

London traded between 157.823 and 158.094 and closed at 158.006, a range of 27.0 pips over 300 minutes. The prior trading day ran 80.6 pips, from 157.546 to 158.352. An ordinary day of the last 14 covers 89.5 pips, and the latest day sits at the 32nd percentile of the last 44 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market.

The USD industrial production releases were scheduled for 13:15 UTC, with a forecast of 1.2% y/y and 0.4% m/m. Over 47 past releases of that family, USDJPY moved 8.33 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 12.96 in the first 60, in either direction. Later, the Federal Budget Balance is scheduled for 18:00 UTC, with a forecast of -34.7B.

Large speculators are net long 62325 contracts, a change of 6885 on the week, the 8th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The CFTC JPY Non-Commercial Net Positions release is scheduled for 19:30 UTC, with a previous reading of 62.3 K. The BoJ's Ueda signals further rate hikes as underlying inflation nears 2%, published at 12:39 UTC and graded impact 2 of 3 for USDJPY.

Session brief

  1. USDJPY, New York sessionOpen 158.006, high 158.094, low 157.896, close 157.939: a range of 19.8 pips over 100 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. USDJPY reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. USDJPY, London sessionOpen 157.924, high 158.094, low 157.823, close 158.006: a range of 27.0 pips over 300 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. USDJPY, previous trading dayHigh 158.352, low 157.546, close 157.992 on 2026-10-15, a range of 80.6 pips, from our own candles on the trading day that starts 17:00 New York.
  5. USDJPY daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 89.5 pips. The latest day sits at the 32nd percentile of the last 44 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  6. USD Fed Industrial Production y/yScheduled 2026-10-16 13:15 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Forecast 1.2%. Previous 1.4%. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.
  7. USDJPY reaction to industrial_production_usdOver 47 past releases USDJPY moved 8.33 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 12.96 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  8. USD Federal Budget BalanceScheduled 2026-10-16 18:00 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Forecast -34.7B. Previous -166.8B. From Forex Factory.
  9. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 097741Large speculators are net long 62325 contracts, a change of 6885 on the week. That is the 8th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  10. JPY CFTC JPY Non-Commercial Net PositionsScheduled 2026-10-16 19:30 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Previous 62.3 K. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.
  11. BoJ's Ueda signals further rate hikes as underlying inflation nears 2%FXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for USDJPY by our headline classifier.
  12. USD Baker Hughes US Oil Rig CountScheduled 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC, impact 2 of 3. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.