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USDJPY at 158.078, 23.0 pips into the New York range

The next scheduled risk is the JPY 10-y Bond Auction at 2026-10-06 03:35 UTC

USDJPY · New York session · Published Oct 5, 2026, 2:10 PM

USDJPY last traded at 158.078, near the bottom of a New York session that has run 23.0 pips between 158.070 and 158.300. The closest level above is the prior day high at 158.222, 14.4 pips away, then the previous session high at 158.290, 21.2 pips above. Below sit the round number at 158.000, 7.8 pips down, and the previous session low at 157.572, 50.6 pips lower.

London ran 71.8 pips from 157.572 to 158.290 and closed at 158.212. The prior trading day covered 127.4 pips, and an ordinary day over the last 14 covers 126.9 pips, with the latest day at the 67th percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which the volatility source calls an ordinary day for this market.

The USD ISM Services PMI came in at 54.9 against a forecast of 55.1, and ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid printed 74.0 against a forecast of 76.9. Over 97 past pmi_usd releases USDJPY moved 13.00 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 20.40 in the first 60, in either direction. The JPY 10-y Bond Auction is scheduled for 2026-10-06 03:35 UTC, and over 48 past auction_jpy releases USDJPY moved 4.60 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 9.00 in the first 60.

Large speculators are net long 55440 contracts, a change of -16542 on the week, the 8th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The loudest headline graded for USDJPY is from FXStreet at 2026-10-05 12:30 UTC, graded impact 2 of 3, on crude forecasts and inflation.

Session brief

  1. USDJPY, New York sessionOpen 158.212, high 158.300, low 158.070, close 158.078: a range of 23.0 pips over 130 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. USDJPY reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. USDJPY, London sessionOpen 157.658, high 158.290, low 157.572, close 158.212: a range of 71.8 pips over 300 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. USDJPY, previous trading dayHigh 158.222, low 156.948, close 157.834 on 2026-10-02, a range of 127.4 pips, from our own candles on the trading day that starts 17:00 New York.
  5. USDJPY daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 126.9 pips. The latest day sits at the 67th percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  6. USD ISM Services PMIScheduled 2026-10-05 14:00 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast 55.1. Previous 55.4. Actual 54.9. From Forex Factory.
  7. USD ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices PaidScheduled 2026-10-05 14:00 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast 76.9. Previous 72.6. Actual 74.0. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.
  8. USDJPY reaction to pmi_usdOver 97 past releases USDJPY moved 13.00 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 20.40 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  9. JPY 10-y Bond AuctionScheduled 2026-10-06 03:35 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Previous 3.00|3.3. From Forex Factory.
  10. USDJPY reaction to auction_jpyOver 48 past releases USDJPY moved 4.60 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 9.00 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  11. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 097741Large speculators are net long 55440 contracts, a change of -16542 on the week. That is the 8th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  12. Oil: Crude forecasts signal inflation surprises ahead - Societe GeneraleFXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for USDJPY by our headline classifier.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.