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USDJPY at 158.102, Asia range 17.4 pips

Fed Chairman Warsh speaks at 03:30 UTC, the next impact 3 event on the calendar

USDJPY · Asia session · Published Oct 15, 2026, 10:40 PM

USDJPY last traded at 158.102, near the top of an Asia session that has run 17.4 pips between 157.931 and 158.104. The nearest level above is the previous session high at 158.250, 14.8 pips away, then the prior day high at 158.352, 25 pips above. Below sit the round number at 158.000, 10.2 pips down, and the session open at 157.984, 11.8 pips down.

New York closed at 157.992 after trading 70.3 pips between 157.546 and 158.250. The prior trading day covered 80.6 pips, and an ordinary day over the last 14 runs 89.5 pips, with the latest day at the 32nd percentile of the last 44 days, which is an ordinary day for this market.

The calendar holds 8 scheduled releases of impact 2 or 3 in the next 24 hours, starting with Fed Chairman Warsh at 03:30 UTC. Past speeches of that family moved USDJPY 8.60 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 14.00 in the first 60, in either direction, over 10 samples. Industrial Production at 13:15 UTC has moved the pair 8.33 pips in the first 15 minutes and 12.96 in the first 60 across 47 past releases.

Large speculators are net long 62325 contracts, a weekly change of 6885, the 8th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The loudest headline for USDJPY is graded impact 2 of 3, FXStreet at 21:11 UTC on the Fed and tightening.

Session brief

  1. USDJPY, Asia sessionOpen 157.984, high 158.104, low 157.931, close 158.102: a range of 17.4 pips over 95 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. USDJPY reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. USDJPY, New York sessionOpen 157.938, high 158.250, low 157.546, close 157.992: a range of 70.3 pips over 540 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. USDJPY daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 89.5 pips. The latest day sits at the 32nd percentile of the last 44 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  5. Economic calendar for USD and JPY8 scheduled releases of impact 2 or 3 in the 24 hours to 2026-10-16 22:40 UTC. Our calendar covers up to 2026-11-14 00:00 UTC.
  6. USDJPY reaction to speech_usdOver 10 past releases USDJPY moved 8.60 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 14.00 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  7. USDJPY reaction to industrial_production_usdOver 47 past releases USDJPY moved 8.33 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 12.96 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  8. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 097741Large speculators are net long 62325 contracts, a change of 6885 on the week. That is the 8th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  9. Fed’s Hammack urges more tightening as inflation squeezes householdsFXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for USDJPY by our headline classifier.
  10. USD Fed Chairman Warsh SpeaksScheduled 2026-10-16 03:30 UTC, impact 3 of 3. From Forex Factory.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.