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USDCAD holds near 1.42352, top of Asia's 10.2 pip range

USD Unemployment Claims at 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled release, impact 3 of 3

USDCAD · Asia session · Published Sep 30, 2026, 11:05 PM

USDCAD last traded at 1.42352, near the top of the Asia session range between 1.42253 and 1.42356, a span of 10.2 pips. The nearest level above is the previous day's and previous session's high at 1.42372, 2 pips higher; below, the session open sits at 1.42267, 8.5 pips down, and the round number at 1.42000 is 35.2 pips down.

New York traded between 1.41547 and 1.42372 and closed at 1.42317, a range of 82.4 pips over 540 minutes. An ordinary day of the last 14 covers 51.5 pips; the latest day sits at the 86th percentile of the last 43 days we hold, which is a busy day for this market.

The next release is USD Unemployment Claims at 12:30 UTC, graded impact 3 of 3. Over 98 past releases of that family, USDCAD moved 7.50 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 11.30 in the first 60, in either direction. USD Final Manufacturing PMI at 13:45 UTC and USD ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC follow, both impact 3 of 3, and the pmi_usd family moved 7.00 pips in the first 15 minutes and 14.30 in the first 60 over 95 releases.

Large speculators are net short 53210 contracts, a change of -15633 on the week and the 37th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The headlines our classifier grades highest for USDCAD are the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Personal Income and Outlays release and its GDP release, both impact 3 of 3 and published in the previous session.

Session brief

  1. USDCAD, Asia sessionOpen 1.42267, high 1.42356, low 1.42253, close 1.42352: a range of 10.2 pips over 121 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. USDCAD price from our feedLast one-minute close 1.42352 at 2026-09-30 23:05 UTC, from our own candles.
  3. USDCAD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  4. USDCAD, New York sessionOpen 1.41848, high 1.42372, low 1.41547, close 1.42317: a range of 82.4 pips over 540 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  5. USDCAD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 51.5 pips. The latest day sits at the 86th percentile of the last 43 days we hold, which is a busy day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  6. USD Unemployment ClaimsScheduled 2026-10-01 12:30 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast 201K. Previous 197K. From Forex Factory.
  7. USDCAD reaction to jobless_claims_usdOver 98 past releases USDCAD moved 7.50 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 11.30 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  8. USD Final Manufacturing PMIScheduled 2026-10-01 13:45 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast 56.9. Previous 57.0. From Forex Factory.
  9. USD ISM Manufacturing PMIScheduled 2026-10-01 14:00 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast 54.8. Previous 54.6. From Forex Factory.
  10. USDCAD reaction to pmi_usdOver 95 past releases USDCAD moved 7.00 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 14.30 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  11. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 090741Large speculators are net short 53210 contracts, a change of -15633 on the week. That is the 37th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  12. Personal Income and Outlays, August 2026U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Graded impact 3 of 3 for USDCAD by our headline classifier.
  13. GDP, (Third Estimate), Industries, Corporate Profits, State GDP, and State Personal Income, 2nd Quarter 2026; State PCE, 2025U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Graded impact 3 of 3 for USDCAD by our headline classifier.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.