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EURUSD at 1.11967, 23.6 pips wide in New York so far

USD Flash Manufacturing and Services PMI land at 13:45 UTC, 14 minutes away

EURUSD · New York session · Published Oct 23, 2026, 1:30 PM

EURUSD last trades at 1.11967, inside a New York range of 23.6 pips between 1.11882 and 1.12118. The nearest level above is the round number at 1.12000, 3.3 pips away, then the previous session high at 1.12120, 15.3 pips above. Below sit the session open at 1.11902, 6.5 pips down, and the prior day low at 1.11884, 8.3 pips down.

London ran 27.5 pips between 1.11846 and 1.12120 and closed at 1.11902. The prior trading day covered 67.6 pips, and an ordinary day of the last 14 covers 68.4 pips. The latest day sits at the 77th percentile of the last 44 days we hold, which the volatility source calls a busy day for this market.

The USD Flash Manufacturing PMI is scheduled at 13:45 UTC with a forecast of 55.4 against a previous 57.0, and the Flash Services PMI at the same time with 57.9 against 58.7. Over 95 past releases of this family, EURUSD moved 7.90 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 14.16 in the first 60, in either direction. At 14:00 UTC the Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations and the Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment follow.

Large speculators are net short 137573 contracts in the CFTC Commitments of Traders, a change of -38241 on the week and the 0th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The most recent headline graded for EURUSD, from FXStreet at 12:32 UTC, carries impact 2 of 3.

Session brief

  1. EURUSD, New York sessionOpen 1.11902, high 1.12118, low 1.11882, close 1.11967: a range of 23.6 pips over 90 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. EURUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. EURUSD, London sessionOpen 1.12102, high 1.12120, low 1.11846, close 1.11902: a range of 27.5 pips over 300 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. EURUSD, previous trading dayHigh 1.12561, low 1.11884, close 1.12155 on 2026-10-22, a range of 67.6 pips, from our own candles on the trading day that starts 17:00 New York.
  5. EURUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 68.4 pips. The latest day sits at the 77th percentile of the last 44 days we hold, which is a busy day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  6. USD Flash Services PMIScheduled 2026-10-23 13:45 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Forecast 57.9. Previous 58.7. From Forex Factory.
  7. EURUSD reaction to pmi_usdOver 95 past releases EURUSD moved 7.90 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 14.16 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  8. USD Michigan 5-Year Inflation ExpectationsScheduled 2026-10-23 14:00 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Forecast 3.5%. Previous 3.5%. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.
  9. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 099741Large speculators are net short 137573 contracts, a change of -38241 on the week. That is the 0th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  10. US Dollar: Resilient into FOMC with election risks – TD SecuritiesFXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for EURUSD by our headline classifier.
  11. USD Flash Manufacturing PMIScheduled 2026-10-23 13:45 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Forecast 55.4. Previous 57.0. From Forex Factory.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.