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EURUSD holds 1.12308, 10.2 pips wide in New York

ECB President Lagarde speaks at 16:30 UTC, impact 3 of 3

EURUSD · New York session · Published Oct 21, 2026, 1:30 PM

EURUSD last traded at 1.12308, inside a New York session that has run 10.2 pips from 1.12254 to 1.12355. The nearest level above is the previous session high at 1.12339, 3.1 pips away, and the nearest below is the session open at 1.12294, 1.4 pips away. Further out sit the prior day high at 1.12608, 30 pips above, and the prior day low at 1.12046, 26.2 pips below.

London closed at 1.12294 after a 20.0 pip range between 1.12140 and 1.12339, and the prior trading day ran 56.2 pips from 1.12046 to 1.12608. An ordinary day of the last 14 covers 75.0 pips, and the latest day sits at the 60th percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market.

The 20-Year Bond Auction is scheduled at 17:00 UTC, impact 2 of 3, and over 422 past releases of that family EURUSD moved 4.45 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 7.72 in the first 60, in either direction. Unemployment Claims follow at 2026-10-22 12:30 UTC, impact 3 of 3, with a forecast of 200K against a previous 199K.

Large speculators are net short 137573 contracts, a change of -38241 on the week, the 0th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. Among the headlines graded for EURUSD, FXStreet reported on the New Zealand Dollar and the RBNZ at 09:34 UTC, graded impact 2 of 3.

Session brief

  1. EURUSD, New York sessionOpen 1.12294, high 1.12355, low 1.12254, close 1.12308: a range of 10.2 pips over 90 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. EURUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. EURUSD, London sessionOpen 1.12205, high 1.12339, low 1.12140, close 1.12294: a range of 20.0 pips over 300 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. EURUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 75.0 pips. The latest day sits at the 60th percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  5. EURUSD reaction to auction_usdOver 422 past releases EURUSD moved 4.45 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 7.72 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  6. USD Unemployment ClaimsScheduled 2026-10-22 12:30 UTC, impact 3 of 3. Forecast 200K. Previous 199K. From Forex Factory.
  7. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 099741Large speculators are net short 137573 contracts, a change of -38241 on the week. That is the 0th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  8. New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ hike seen with CPI near forecast – INGFXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for EURUSD by our headline classifier.
  9. EUR ECB President Lagarde SpeechScheduled 2026-10-21 16:30 UTC, impact 3 of 3. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.