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EURUSD at 1.12092, New York range 28.2 pips

Three USD inventory releases land at 14:00 UTC, 29 minutes away

EURUSD · New York session · Published Oct 15, 2026, 1:30 PM

EURUSD last traded at 1.12092, inside a New York session that has run 28.2 pips between 1.11880 and 1.12162. The nearest level above is the prior day high at 1.12114, 2.2 pips up, and the nearest below is the session open at 1.12072, 2 pips down. Further out sit the prior week high at 1.12768, 67.6 pips above, and the prior week low at 1.11610, 48.2 pips below.

London closed at 1.12072 after a 26.3 pip range between 1.12038 and 1.12301. The prior trading day ran 98.6 pips from 1.11129 to 1.12114. An ordinary day over the last 14 covers 70.4 pips, and the latest day sits at the 91st percentile of the last 43 days we hold, which the volatility source calls an unusually wide day for this market.

At 14:00 UTC, 29 minutes from now, USD Business Inventories m/m is scheduled with a forecast of 0.4% and a previous of 0.8%. Also at 14:00 UTC come USD Retail Inventories m/m, forecast 0.3% and previous 0.3%, and USD Retail Inventories excl. Autos m/m, previous 0.1%. Later, EUR CPI y/y is scheduled for 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC with a forecast of 2.9% and a previous of 2.9%; over 253 past releases of that family EURUSD moved 4.62 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 7.56 in the first 60, in either direction.

Large speculators are net short 99332 contracts, a change of -36076 on the week, the 0th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The most recent headline, from Action Forex at 12:51 UTC, is graded impact 2 of 3 for EURUSD. FXStreet at 12:37 UTC carries a second graded 2 of 3.

Session brief

  1. EURUSD, New York sessionOpen 1.12072, high 1.12162, low 1.11880, close 1.12092: a range of 28.2 pips over 90 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. EURUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. EURUSD, London sessionOpen 1.12083, high 1.12301, low 1.12038, close 1.12072: a range of 26.3 pips over 300 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. EURUSD, previous trading dayHigh 1.12114, low 1.11129, close 1.11568 on 2026-10-14, a range of 98.6 pips, from our own candles on the trading day that starts 17:00 New York.
  5. EURUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 70.4 pips. The latest day sits at the 91st percentile of the last 43 days we hold, which is an unusually wide day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  6. USD Business Inventories m/mScheduled 2026-10-15 14:00 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Forecast 0.4%. Previous 0.8%. From Forex Factory.
  7. USD Retail Inventories m/mScheduled 2026-10-15 14:00 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Forecast 0.3%. Previous 0.3%. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.
  8. EURUSD reaction to cpi_eurOver 253 past releases EURUSD moved 4.62 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 7.56 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  9. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 099741Large speculators are net short 99332 contracts, a change of -36076 on the week. That is the 0th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  10. US PPI Surges 1.3% as Energy Prices Spike, but Core Inflation Also Beats ForecastsAction Forex. Graded impact 2 of 3 for EURUSD by our headline classifier.
  11. United States producer inflation jumps 6.3% in September vs. 5.3% expectedFXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for EURUSD by our headline classifier.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.