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EURUSD at 1.12541, New York range 25.4 pips

Fed Governor Bowman speaks at 14:45 UTC, the next release on the calendar

EURUSD · New York session · Published Oct 6, 2026, 1:30 PM

EURUSD last traded at 1.12541, inside a New York session that has run 25.4 pips between 1.12514 and 1.12768. The nearest level above is the prior day high at 1.12612, 7.1 pips away, and the nearest below is the prior week low at 1.12150, 39.0 pips away.

London closed at 1.12682 after a 68.8 pip range, having opened at 1.12103. The prior trading day ran 100.2 pips, while an ordinary day of the last 14 covers 62.2 pips; the latest day sits at the 95th percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which is an unusually wide day for this market.

After the Bowman speech, the EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook is scheduled for 16:00 UTC and the 3-Year Note Auction for 17:00 UTC. Over 421 past auction_usd releases EURUSD moved 4.38 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 7.66 in the first 60, in either direction.

Large speculators are net short 63256 contracts, a change of -10922 on the week, the 2nd percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services release was graded impact 2 of 3 for EURUSD, as was the ECB's Lane headline on hawkish sentiment.

Session brief

  1. EURUSD, New York sessionOpen 1.12682, high 1.12768, low 1.12514, close 1.12541: a range of 25.4 pips over 90 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. EURUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. EURUSD, London sessionOpen 1.12103, high 1.12718, low 1.12030, close 1.12682: a range of 68.8 pips over 300 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. EURUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 62.2 pips. The latest day sits at the 95th percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which is an unusually wide day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  5. USD EIA Short-Term Energy OutlookScheduled 2026-10-06 16:00 UTC, impact 2 of 3. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.
  6. EURUSD reaction to auction_usdOver 421 past releases EURUSD moved 4.38 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 7.66 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  7. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 099741Large speculators are net short 63256 contracts, a change of -10922 on the week. That is the 2nd percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  8. ECB’s Lane: High inflation due to energy shock is driving hawkish ECB sentimentFXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for EURUSD by our headline classifier.
  9. USD Fed Governor Bowman SpeechScheduled 2026-10-06 14:45 UTC, impact 2 of 3. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.