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EURUSD at 1.12526, New York range 43.5 pips

USD Factory Orders m/m is scheduled at 14:00 UTC, 29 minutes away

EURUSD · New York session · Published Oct 2, 2026, 1:30 PM

EURUSD last traded at 1.12526, inside a New York session that has run 43.5 pips between 1.12210 and 1.12644. The nearest level above is the previous session high at 1.12696, 17 pips away, and the nearest below is the session open at 1.12330, 19.6 pips away.

London closed at 1.12330 after a 42.5 pip range between 1.12272 and 1.12696. The prior trading day ran 121.8 pips, and an ordinary day of the last 14 covers 57.7 pips; the latest day sits at the 100th percentile of the last 44 days we hold, which is an unusually wide day for this market.

USD Factory Orders m/m is scheduled at 14:00 UTC, 29 minutes away, with a forecast of 0.1% and a previous of 0.9%. Over 46 past releases of that family EURUSD moved 7.71 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 12.76 in the first 60, in either direction.

Large speculators are net short 52334 contracts, a change of -25341 on the week, the 8th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The European Central Bank headline at 13:00 UTC is graded impact 3 of 3 for EURUSD, and the investingLive payrolls headline at 12:30 UTC is graded 2 of 3.

Session brief

  1. EURUSD, New York sessionOpen 1.12330, high 1.12644, low 1.12210, close 1.12526: a range of 43.5 pips over 90 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. EURUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. EURUSD, London sessionOpen 1.12586, high 1.12696, low 1.12272, close 1.12330: a range of 42.5 pips over 300 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. EURUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 57.7 pips. The latest day sits at the 100th percentile of the last 44 days we hold, which is an unusually wide day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  5. USD Factory Orders m/mScheduled 2026-10-02 14:00 UTC, impact 2 of 3. Forecast 0.1%. Previous 0.9%. From Forex Factory.
  6. EURUSD reaction to durable_goods_usdOver 46 past releases EURUSD moved 7.71 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 12.76 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  7. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 099741Large speculators are net short 52334 contracts, a change of -25341 on the week. That is the 8th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  8. Decisions taken by the Governing Council of the ECB (in addition to decisions setting interest rates)European Central Bank. Graded impact 3 of 3 for EURUSD by our headline classifier.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.