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EURUSD at 1.12278, 14.2 pips of Asia range so far

ECB President Lagarde speaks at 16:30 UTC, the highest-impact item on the EUR side

EURUSD · Asia session · Published Oct 21, 2026, 12:05 AM

EURUSD last trades at 1.12278, inside an Asia session that has run 14.2 pips between 1.12256 and 1.12397 since the 1.12378 open. The nearest level above is the session open at 1.12378, 10 pips away, then the prior day high at 1.12608, 33 pips above. Below sit the previous session low at 1.12108, 17 pips down, and the prior day low at 1.12046, 23.2 pips down.

New York closed at 1.12372 after a 50 pip range between 1.12108 and 1.12608, and the full prior trading day covered 56.2 pips. An ordinary day of the last 14 covers 75.0 pips, and the latest day sits at the 60th percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market.

The calendar lists 7 scheduled releases of impact 2 or 3 in the next 24 hours, starting with ECB Executive Board Member Lane at 04:15 UTC and Bbk President Nagel at 07:15 UTC. The USD 20-Year Bond Auction at 17:00 UTC is the one event with a measured history here: over 437 past releases EURUSD moved 4.40 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 7.60 in the first 60, in either direction.

CFTC data for the week of 2026-10-13 show large speculators net short 137573 contracts, a change of -38241 on the week and the 0th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports. The headlines graded for EURUSD are all impact 2 of 3, the most recent from FXStreet at 23:25 UTC on Japanese inflation and the Yen.

Session brief

  1. EURUSD, Asia sessionOpen 1.12378, high 1.12397, low 1.12256, close 1.12278: a range of 14.2 pips over 180 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  2. EURUSD reference levelsPrevious day and previous week high and low, the session open and the round numbers either side, measured on our own candles.
  3. EURUSD, New York sessionOpen 1.12110, high 1.12608, low 1.12108, close 1.12372: a range of 50 pips over 540 minutes, from our own one-minute candles.
  4. EURUSD daily rangeAn ordinary day of the last 14 covers 75.0 pips. The latest day sits at the 60th percentile of the last 42 days we hold, which is an ordinary day for this market. Measured on our own candles.
  5. Economic calendar for EUR and USD7 scheduled releases of impact 2 or 3 in the 24 hours to 2026-10-22 00:05 UTC. Our calendar covers up to 2026-11-19 00:00 UTC.
  6. EURUSD reaction to auction_usdOver 437 past releases EURUSD moved 4.40 pips on average in the first 15 minutes and 7.60 in the first 60, in either direction. Measured on our own one-minute candles.
  7. CFTC Commitments of Traders, 099741Large speculators are net short 137573 contracts, a change of -38241 on the week. That is the 0th percentile of the last 52 weekly reports.
  8. Japan’s inflation figures are next for a Yen stuck near 158.00FXStreet. Graded impact 2 of 3 for EURUSD by our headline classifier.
  9. EUR ECB President Lagarde SpeechScheduled 2026-10-21 16:30 UTC, impact 3 of 3. From MQL5 Economic Calendar.

Written once by FxMind's desk from our own market data, the same text every reader sees.

Context on the market, not a trade recommendation. The decision is the trader's.